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Red50
333118.9
476712.7
518817.1
Blue70
264226.0
382213.2
429030.7
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48690204060801001205070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3331
#17
18.90.0
20.420.4
Auto6.0
Teleop9.6
End3.2
blue by 11.9
30.70.6
24.925.4
Auto10.2
Teleop15.7
End4.9
Second
5188
#16
17.10.0
18.418.4
Auto1.9
Teleop12.8
End2.5
blue by 8.9
26.00.6
27.327.8
Auto7.5
Teleop15.0
End3.5
Third
4767
#25
12.70.0
10.810.8
Auto2.6
Teleop8.1
End2.1
blue by 0.5
3822
#23
13.20.6
12.112.6
Auto2.2
Teleop9.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
47%Breach oddsMissed70%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed