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Red45
600418.9
268223.4
58549.0
Blue55
350626.8
456123.5
340213.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions516002040801004555

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2682
#15
23.41.5
21.920.4
Auto6.0
Teleop10.6
End6.8
blue by 3.5
3506
#10
26.80.2
24.624.4
Auto8.7
Teleop12.7
End5.5
Second
6004
#18
18.91.5
18.917.4
Auto1.5
Teleop13.7
End3.7
blue by 4.6
23.50.2
19.319.1
Auto7.6
Teleop12.7
End3.2
Third
5854
#29
9.01.5
9.88.3
Auto-0.7
Teleop6.6
End3.1
blue by 4.5
3402
#24
13.50.2
13.313.1
Auto3.0
Teleop8.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
59%Breach oddsMissed66%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed