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Red32
12259.1
333118.9
264017.1
Blue47
32159.4
397117.8
319623.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions495035404555603247

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3331
#17
18.91.8
15.713.9
Auto6.0
Teleop9.6
End3.2
blue by 4.8
23.60.2
19.419.2
Auto3.0
Teleop15.8
End4.8
Second
2640
#20
17.11.8
12.811.0
Auto5.0
Teleop8.7
End3.4
blue by 0.7
3971
#14
17.80.2
17.717.6
Auto7.9
Teleop7.2
End2.7
Third
1225
#30
9.11.8
19.517.7
Auto0.9
Teleop6.9
End1.3
blue by 0.3
3215
#28
9.40.2
11.311.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop8.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
38%Breach oddsMissed28%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed