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Red37
340213.5
429030.7
600418.9
Blue46
58549.0
333612.8
265530.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4059020801001201403746

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.70.5
15.615.1
Auto10.2
Teleop15.7
End4.9
blue by 0.1
30.82.6
24.321.7
Auto9.6
Teleop16.9
End4.3
Second
6004
#18
18.90.5
13.913.4
Auto1.5
Teleop13.7
End3.7
red by 6.1
3336
#21
12.82.6
14.511.9
Auto1.9
Teleop8.0
End2.9
Third
3402
#24
13.50.5
12.311.8
Auto3.0
Teleop8.8
End1.7
red by 4.5
5854
#29
9.02.6
15.913.2
Auto-0.7
Teleop6.6
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
26%Breach oddsMissed51%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed