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Red50
264235.9
493530.9
366119.1
Blue82
591918.3
333617.2
482825.5
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114662040801001401605082

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.90.8
35.334.5
Auto9.0
Teleop22.3
End4.5
red by 10.3
4828
#14
25.50.1
24.824.9
Auto8.6
Teleop13.3
End3.6
Second
30.90.8
30.329.6
Auto8.7
Teleop18.6
End3.6
red by 12.7
5919
#21
18.30.1
17.517.6
Auto5.6
Teleop10.8
End1.8
Third
3661
#19
19.10.8
18.517.8
Auto4.6
Teleop10.4
End4.2
red by 1.9
3336
#12
17.20.1
16.516.6
Auto3.2
Teleop9.6
End4.4