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Semifinal 1-12016 NC District - Wake County Event
Red121
264235.9
493530.9
366119.1
Blue105
345923.0
551822.8
481624.5
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108864060100120140160180121105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2642
#3
35.90.3
34.6→34.9
Auto9.0
Teleop22.3
End4.5
red by 11.4
4816
#17
24.50.2
24.4→24.7
Auto11.0
Teleop10.2
End3.2
Second
4935
#1
30.90.3
29.7→30.0
Auto8.7
Teleop18.6
End3.6
red by 8.0
3459
#9
23.00.2
22.9→23.2
Auto5.4
Teleop13.0
End4.5
Third
3661
#19
19.10.3
17.9→18.2
Auto4.6
Teleop10.4
End4.2
blue by 3.7
5518
#7
22.80.2
22.8→23.0
Auto8.4
Teleop11.0
End3.4