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Red77
600320.7
376320.2
482825.5
Blue35
205923.5
516022.4
429110.5
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3858020801001207735

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4828
#14
25.54.1
12.716.8
Auto8.6
Teleop13.3
End3.6
red by 2.0
23.52.1
27.525.4
Auto7.2
Teleop12.3
End4.0
Second
6003
#13
20.74.1
12.816.9
Auto8.7
Teleop8.3
End3.7
blue by 1.7
5160
#18
22.42.1
17.915.8
Auto6.2
Teleop12.1
End4.0
Third
3763
#16
20.24.1
14.418.5
Auto3.6
Teleop13.1
End3.4
red by 9.7
4291
#28
10.52.1
8.26.1
Auto-0.5
Teleop7.6
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
16%Breach oddsEarned42%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed