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Red62
58720.1
333120.2
560724.6
Blue61
554419.4
493530.9
482910.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions515230406070806261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5607
#15
24.61.3
16.217.5
Auto10.0
Teleop11.1
End3.5
blue by 6.4
30.90.8
25.226.0
Auto8.7
Teleop18.6
End3.6
Second
3331
#11
20.20.8
17.518.3
Auto7.1
Teleop9.3
End3.7
red by 0.8
5544
#27
19.41.3
16.718.0
Auto6.6
Teleop9.7
End3.1
Third
587
#20
20.11.3
16.517.8
Auto5.7
Teleop10.8
End3.6
red by 9.2
4829
#23
10.90.8
7.68.4
Auto1.9
Teleop7.4
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
17%Breach oddsEarned37%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed