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Red99
205931.3
268226.9
600424.5
Blue86
551834.9
554428.2
265536.0
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1001350501502002509986

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2059
Unranked
31.30.0
31.331.3
Auto8.5
Teleop18.8
End4.0
blue by 4.7
2655
Unranked
36.00.0
36.036.0
Auto9.0
Teleop20.2
End6.8
Second
2682
Unranked
26.90.0
26.926.9
Auto6.8
Teleop12.6
End7.4
blue by 8.0
5518
Unranked
34.90.0
34.934.9
Auto10.1
Teleop20.0
End4.8
Third
6004
Unranked
24.50.0
24.524.5
Auto6.4
Teleop13.0
End5.1
blue by 3.7
5544
Unranked
28.20.0
28.228.2
Auto6.6
Teleop16.7
End4.9