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Red86
551122.2
129319.1
58730.5
Blue117
527936.5
38430.6
373719.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8711205010015020086117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
587
Unranked
30.50.0
30.530.5
Auto9.2
Teleop17.6
End3.7
blue by 5.9
5279
Unranked
36.50.0
36.536.5
Auto11.0
Teleop19.4
End6.0
Second
5511
Unranked
22.20.0
22.222.2
Auto6.6
Teleop11.6
End4.1
blue by 8.4
384
Unranked
30.60.0
30.630.6
Auto7.2
Teleop18.9
End4.6
Third
1293
Unranked
19.10.0
19.119.1
Auto7.2
Teleop9.6
End2.2
blue by 0.5
3737
Unranked
19.60.0
19.619.6
Auto6.5
Teleop9.1
End4.1