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Red55
129319.1
456136.9
516037.0
Blue86
350639.2
551122.2
600424.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97870501502005586

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5160
Unranked
37.00.0
37.037.0
Auto9.3
Teleop23.1
End4.6
blue by 2.2
3506
Unranked
39.20.0
39.239.2
Auto10.8
Teleop17.9
End10.5
Second
4561
Unranked
36.90.0
36.936.9
Auto11.3
Teleop21.1
End4.4
red by 12.4
6004
Unranked
24.50.0
24.524.5
Auto6.4
Teleop13.0
End5.1
Third
1293
Unranked
19.10.0
19.119.1
Auto7.2
Teleop9.6
End2.2
blue by 3.2
5511
Unranked
22.20.0
22.222.2
Auto6.6
Teleop11.6
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
89%Breach odds94%Breach odds
Capture
10%Capture odds5%Capture odds