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Red45
567924.5
43533.0
58730.5
Blue94
479531.2
264236.6
527936.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions871110501001502004594

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
435
Unranked
33.00.0
33.033.0
Auto9.5
Teleop18.5
End4.9
blue by 3.6
2642
Unranked
36.60.0
36.636.6
Auto9.9
Teleop22.3
End4.4
Second
587
Unranked
30.50.0
30.530.5
Auto9.2
Teleop17.6
End3.7
blue by 5.9
5279
Unranked
36.50.0
36.536.5
Auto11.0
Teleop19.4
End6.0
Third
5679
Unranked
24.50.0
24.524.5
Auto7.0
Teleop13.1
End4.4
blue by 6.7
4795
Unranked
31.20.0
31.231.2
Auto8.3
Teleop17.6
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach odds99%Breach odds
Capture
5%Capture odds49%Capture odds