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Quarterfinal 2-22016 New England District Championship
Red181
17747.5
115342.5
206436.9
Blue96
176843.6
12644.1
99936.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1671755010015020025030018196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
#10
47.50.2
47.5→47.7
Auto12.7
Teleop28.2
End6.6
red by 3.4
126
#6
44.10.9
45.4→44.5
Auto10.9
Teleop22.8
End10.4
Second
1153
#5
42.50.2
42.6→42.8
Auto10.2
Teleop26.8
End5.5
blue by 1.1
1768
#27
43.60.9
44.9→44.0
Auto12.4
Teleop20.5
End10.7
Third
2064
#18
36.90.2
36.9→37.1
Auto10.9
Teleop12.6
End13.4
red by 0.2
999
#38
36.60.9
37.4→36.5
Auto11.9
Teleop19.3
End5.4