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Semifinal 2-22016 New England District Championship
Red240
19560.4
12550.7
216844.9
Blue175
23054.8
151956.7
17647.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions194208100150250300240175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#11
60.40.7
59.0→59.7
Auto16.2
Teleop35.5
End8.7
red by 3.7
1519
#3
56.70.1
56.8→56.7
Auto16.9
Teleop34.6
End5.2
Second
125
#2
50.70.7
49.2→49.9
Auto16.2
Teleop27.0
End7.4
blue by 4.1
230
#14
54.80.1
54.9→54.8
Auto15.3
Teleop35.3
End4.2
Third
2168
#26
44.90.7
43.4→44.2
Auto12.9
Teleop24.3
End7.6
blue by 2.6
176
#23
47.50.1
47.5→47.5
Auto8.5
Teleop29.3
End9.7