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Red126
455730.4
264838.9
456455.3
Blue111
99936.6
173531.6
17540.0
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114103406080140160180200126111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.30.8
48.849.6
Auto10.2
Teleop33.7
End11.4
red by 15.3
175
#30
40.00.3
38.038.3
Auto8.6
Teleop21.4
End9.9
Second
2648
#25
38.90.8
35.336.1
Auto9.7
Teleop24.9
End4.4
red by 2.3
999
#38
36.60.3
32.232.5
Auto11.9
Teleop19.3
End5.4
Third
4557
#45
30.40.8
25.125.9
Auto9.1
Teleop15.5
End5.8
blue by 1.3
1735
#37
31.60.3
31.131.4
Auto12.7
Teleop13.6
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned91%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
4%Capture oddsEarned4%Capture oddsMissed