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Red103
24636.6
417632.2
206436.9
Blue111
23054.8
46732.3
105844.4
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8912950100150200103111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2064
#18
36.90.7
32.733.4
Auto10.9
Teleop12.6
End13.4
blue by 17.9
230
#14
54.80.6
48.447.9
Auto15.3
Teleop35.3
End4.2
Second
246
#15
36.60.7
31.932.6
Auto12.6
Teleop20.2
End3.8
blue by 7.7
1058
#35
44.40.6
44.343.7
Auto9.1
Teleop23.8
End11.4
Third
4176
#33
32.20.7
28.128.8
Auto10.8
Teleop16.6
End4.8
blue by 0.1
467
#56
32.30.6
26.926.3
Auto5.9
Teleop19.6
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
81%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsEarned34%Capture oddsMissed