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Red99
23841.0
83934.5
18135.3
Blue124
287737.1
109934.4
19560.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1111395010015020025099124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
238
#39
41.01.2
41.940.7
Auto14.4
Teleop21.0
End5.6
blue by 19.4
195
#11
60.40.5
56.556.1
Auto16.2
Teleop35.5
End8.7
Second
181
#49
35.31.2
34.633.4
Auto10.0
Teleop20.0
End5.3
blue by 1.8
2877
#52
37.10.5
41.741.2
Auto18.1
Teleop16.3
End2.8
Third
839
#54
34.51.2
35.434.2
Auto9.0
Teleop20.2
End5.3
red by 0.1
1099
#40
34.40.5
33.132.6
Auto8.3
Teleop19.1
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
80%Capture oddsMissed47%Capture oddsEarned