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Red132
237035.7
404842.1
55849.4
Blue64
346134.1
9524.1
476129.9
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117825010015020013264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
558
#34
49.40.9
40.941.7
Auto10.0
Teleop30.2
End9.2
red by 15.2
3461
#55
34.11.4
31.930.6
Auto10.5
Teleop18.3
End5.3
Second
4048
#21
42.10.9
33.334.2
Auto7.9
Teleop27.3
End6.8
red by 12.1
4761
#48
29.91.4
27.726.4
Auto6.4
Teleop18.3
End5.2
Third
2370
#24
35.70.9
35.135.9
Auto9.0
Teleop21.8
End4.9
red by 11.6
95
#60
24.11.4
25.023.6
Auto8.2
Teleop12.1
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned93%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
5%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed