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Red106
81130.5
405537.6
151956.7
Blue121
17647.5
169931.6
22830.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1239350150200106121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.70.5
54.754.2
Auto16.9
Teleop34.6
End5.2
red by 9.3
176
#23
47.50.8
40.241.0
Auto8.5
Teleop29.3
End9.7
Second
4055
#16
37.60.5
31.330.8
Auto10.6
Teleop21.0
End6.0
red by 6.0
1699
#44
31.60.8
23.424.1
Auto9.4
Teleop16.8
End5.4
Third
811
#51
30.50.5
27.026.5
Auto3.4
Teleop20.1
End7.0
red by 0.4
228
#19
30.20.8
30.931.6
Auto9.2
Teleop15.2
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned78%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
12%Capture oddsMissed8%Capture oddsEarned