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Red119
556324.8
13354.4
112436.9
Blue72
8833.8
7840.3
110031.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1219405015020025011972

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#4
54.40.7
53.452.7
Auto14.1
Teleop29.6
End10.7
red by 14.2
78
#28
40.31.5
34.432.9
Auto11.3
Teleop23.2
End5.8
Second
36.90.7
35.735.0
Auto11.3
Teleop17.8
End7.7
red by 3.2
88
#46
33.81.5
30.729.2
Auto7.9
Teleop21.1
End4.7
Third
5563
#62
24.80.7
25.024.4
Auto2.8
Teleop16.8
End5.1
blue by 6.3
1100
#47
31.11.5
29.327.8
Auto6.9
Teleop19.9
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
86%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
5%Capture oddsMissed6%Capture oddsMissed