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Qual 72016 New England District Championship
Red101
490537.5
287631.5
596230.5
Blue132
12550.7
208428.6
12644.1
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9211950150200101132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4905
#12
37.50.5
33.2→33.7
Auto12.2
Teleop19.7
End5.5
blue by 13.2
125
#2
50.71.3
44.2→45.5
Auto16.2
Teleop27.0
End7.4
Second
2876
#50
31.50.5
32.2→32.7
Auto9.6
Teleop17.4
End4.5
blue by 12.6
126
#6
44.11.3
39.8→41.1
Auto10.9
Teleop22.8
End10.4
Third
5962
#61
30.50.5
28.6→29.1
Auto10.7
Teleop15.8
End4.1
red by 2.0
2084
#57
28.61.3
28.0→29.3
Auto10.8
Teleop15.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned22%Capture oddsEarned