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Red112
581338.2
172934.1
31943.0
Blue76
615333.0
151220.6
568738.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1119005015020011276

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#7
43.00.1
38.738.7
Auto11.7
Teleop23.6
End7.6
red by 4.5
5687
#20
38.41.0
38.537.5
Auto11.4
Teleop22.9
End4.1
Second
5813
#36
38.20.1
36.136.1
Auto8.8
Teleop25.4
End4.0
red by 5.1
6153
#17
33.01.0
31.030.0
Auto10.0
Teleop18.6
End4.4
Third
1729
#29
34.10.1
28.128.0
Auto10.1
Teleop19.0
End5.0
red by 13.6
1512
#63
20.61.0
21.720.7
Auto1.6
Teleop13.4
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
34%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed