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Red125
15534.9
17540.0
19560.4
Blue129
584629.2
12644.1
13354.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13813250100150200250125129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#11
60.40.9
58.057.2
Auto16.2
Teleop35.5
End8.7
red by 6.0
133
#4
54.40.1
57.056.9
Auto14.1
Teleop29.6
End10.7
Second
175
#30
40.00.9
39.338.4
Auto8.6
Teleop21.4
End9.9
blue by 4.1
126
#6
44.10.1
44.744.7
Auto10.9
Teleop22.8
End10.4
Third
155
#43
34.90.9
35.835.0
Auto9.4
Teleop17.7
End7.8
red by 5.7
5846
#31
29.20.1
28.228.1
Auto8.0
Teleop15.1
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
52%Capture oddsMissed78%Capture oddsEarned