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Red99
581338.2
237035.7
173531.6
Blue173
216844.9
115342.5
23054.8
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107144608010012016018020022099173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5813
#36
38.20.7
38.838.1
Auto8.8
Teleop25.4
End4.0
blue by 16.6
230
#14
54.82.0
52.054.0
Auto15.3
Teleop35.3
End4.2
Second
2370
#24
35.70.7
37.737.0
Auto9.0
Teleop21.8
End4.9
blue by 9.3
2168
#26
44.92.0
41.343.2
Auto12.9
Teleop24.3
End7.6
Third
1735
#37
31.60.7
33.232.5
Auto12.7
Teleop13.6
End5.3
blue by 10.9
42.52.0
40.442.4
Auto10.2
Teleop26.8
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
44%Capture oddsMissed69%Capture oddsEarned