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Red98
568630.7
404842.1
287631.5
Blue95
46732.3
22830.2
615333.0
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1099560801201401609895

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4048
#21
42.10.4
41.441.0
Auto7.9
Teleop27.3
End6.8
red by 9.1
6153
#17
33.00.0
34.434.5
Auto10.0
Teleop18.6
End4.4
Second
2876
#50
31.50.4
31.831.4
Auto9.6
Teleop17.4
End4.5
blue by 0.9
467
#56
32.30.0
31.231.2
Auto5.9
Teleop19.6
End6.8
Third
5686
#41
30.70.4
31.030.6
Auto10.2
Teleop15.7
End4.8
red by 0.6
228
#19
30.20.0
28.928.9
Auto9.2
Teleop15.2
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
25%Capture oddsEarned41%Capture oddsEarned