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Red114
455730.4
208428.6
346738.6
Blue125
206436.9
17237.2
17647.5
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92124406080100140160180114125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3467
#32
38.61.4
37.739.1
Auto6.7
Teleop28.1
End3.8
blue by 8.8
176
#23
47.50.3
44.644.9
Auto8.5
Teleop29.3
End9.7
Second
4557
#45
30.41.4
28.830.2
Auto9.1
Teleop15.5
End5.8
blue by 6.9
172
#22
37.20.3
36.336.6
Auto9.2
Teleop20.9
End7.1
Third
2084
#57
28.61.4
26.628.0
Auto10.8
Teleop15.6
End2.2
blue by 8.3
2064
#18
36.90.3
34.835.1
Auto10.9
Teleop12.6
End13.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
14%Capture oddsMissed38%Capture oddsEarned