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Red125
172934.1
18135.3
568738.4
Blue150
12550.7
110031.1
456455.3
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97144406080120160180200125150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5687
#20
38.40.6
35.436.0
Auto11.4
Teleop22.9
End4.1
blue by 16.9
55.31.1
56.157.2
Auto10.2
Teleop33.7
End11.4
Second
181
#49
35.30.6
32.933.5
Auto10.0
Teleop20.0
End5.3
blue by 15.3
125
#2
50.71.1
47.448.5
Auto16.2
Teleop27.0
End7.4
Third
1729
#29
34.10.6
32.533.1
Auto10.1
Teleop19.0
End5.0
red by 3.0
1100
#47
31.11.1
30.131.2
Auto6.9
Teleop19.9
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
54%Capture oddsEarned88%Capture oddsEarned