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Red106
12644.1
127729.7
112436.9
Blue97
287737.1
183125.5
405537.6
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11910540608014016018010697

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
126
#6
44.11.2
44.743.5
Auto10.9
Teleop22.8
End10.4
red by 6.5
4055
#16
37.60.5
37.937.4
Auto10.6
Teleop21.0
End6.0
Second
36.91.2
37.336.1
Auto11.3
Teleop17.8
End7.7
blue by 0.2
2877
#52
37.10.5
38.738.2
Auto18.1
Teleop16.3
End2.8
Third
1277
#42
29.71.2
31.730.5
Auto11.1
Teleop13.3
End5.3
red by 4.2
1831
#59
25.50.5
27.427.0
Auto8.9
Teleop13.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned86%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
67%Capture oddsEarned16%Capture oddsMissed