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Red87
584629.2
81130.5
9524.1
Blue125
216844.9
417632.2
264838.9
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions771285010015020087125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
811
#51
30.50.3
30.330.6
Auto3.4
Teleop20.1
End7.0
blue by 14.4
2168
#26
44.91.1
43.242.1
Auto12.9
Teleop24.3
End7.6
Second
5846
#31
29.20.3
28.128.4
Auto8.0
Teleop15.1
End6.1
blue by 9.8
2648
#25
38.91.1
39.338.2
Auto9.7
Teleop24.9
End4.4
Third
95
#60
24.10.3
23.724.0
Auto8.2
Teleop12.1
End3.8
blue by 8.1
4176
#33
32.21.1
34.433.3
Auto10.8
Teleop16.6
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
69%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
23%Capture oddsMissed60%Capture oddsMissed