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Red140
206743.4
8833.8
24636.6
Blue94
99936.6
83934.5
581338.2
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1101165010015020014094

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2067
#13
43.41.5
41.342.8
Auto16.2
Teleop22.3
End4.8
red by 5.2
5813
#36
38.21.2
38.136.9
Auto8.8
Teleop25.4
End4.0
Second
246
#15
36.61.5
32.734.2
Auto12.6
Teleop20.2
End3.8
Level
999
#38DQ
36.61.2
38.337.2
Auto11.9
Teleop19.3
End5.4
Third
88
#46
33.81.5
33.635.1
Auto7.9
Teleop21.1
End4.7
blue by 0.7
839
#54
34.51.2
34.933.7
Auto9.0
Teleop20.2
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
74%Capture oddsMissed81%Capture oddsEarned