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Red147
7840.3
596230.5
19560.4
Blue155
16642.0
17747.5
15534.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1311216080100140160180200147155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#11
60.41.4
57.258.6
Auto16.2
Teleop35.5
End8.7
red by 13.0
177
#10
47.51.1
44.145.2
Auto12.7
Teleop28.2
End6.6
Second
78
#28
40.31.4
38.840.2
Auto11.3
Teleop23.2
End5.8
blue by 1.7
166
#9
42.01.1
39.640.7
Auto14.0
Teleop23.2
End4.8
Third
5962
#61
30.51.4
30.031.4
Auto10.7
Teleop15.8
End4.1
blue by 4.3
155
#43
34.91.1
35.036.0
Auto9.4
Teleop17.7
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
40%Capture oddsMissed23%Capture oddsEarned