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Red122
17237.2
17540.0
112436.9
Blue87
596230.5
127729.7
173531.6
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1209340608010014016018012287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175
#30
40.00.6
40.040.6
Auto8.6
Teleop21.4
End9.9
red by 8.4
1735
#37
31.60.8
32.431.6
Auto12.7
Teleop13.6
End5.3
Second
172
#22
37.20.6
36.637.2
Auto9.2
Teleop20.9
End7.1
red by 6.7
5962
#61
30.50.8
31.430.5
Auto10.7
Teleop15.8
End4.1
Third
36.90.6
36.136.7
Auto11.3
Teleop17.8
End7.7
red by 7.2
1277
#42
29.70.8
30.529.7
Auto11.1
Teleop13.3
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
48%Capture oddsMissed12%Capture oddsMissed