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Red123
490537.5
405537.6
455730.4
Blue97
9524.1
7840.3
287631.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11196608012014016012397

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4055
#16
37.60.2
37.437.6
Auto10.6
Teleop21.0
End6.0
blue by 2.7
78
#28
40.30.1
40.240.3
Auto11.3
Teleop23.2
End5.8
Second
4905
#12
37.50.2
37.838.0
Auto12.2
Teleop19.7
End5.5
red by 6.0
2876
#50
31.50.1
31.431.5
Auto9.6
Teleop17.4
End4.5
Third
4557
#45
30.40.2
30.230.4
Auto9.1
Teleop15.5
End5.8
red by 6.3
95
#60
24.10.1
24.024.1
Auto8.2
Teleop12.1
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
43%Capture oddsEarned26%Capture oddsMissed