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Red93
169931.6
46732.3
81130.5
Blue119
19560.4
476129.9
112436.9
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7113005010015020093119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
467
#56
32.31.1
26.327.4
Auto5.9
Teleop19.6
End6.8
blue by 28.1
195
#11
60.40.2
56.155.8
Auto16.2
Teleop35.5
End8.7
Second
1699
#44
31.61.1
24.125.2
Auto9.4
Teleop16.8
End5.4
blue by 5.3
36.90.2
35.034.8
Auto11.3
Teleop17.8
End7.7
Third
811
#51
30.51.1
26.527.6
Auto3.4
Teleop20.1
End7.0
red by 0.6
4761
#48
29.90.2
26.426.1
Auto6.4
Teleop18.3
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
48%Breach oddsEarned93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
8%Capture oddsMissed8%Capture oddsMissed