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Red141
23054.8
13354.4
173531.6
Blue95
346738.6
183125.5
287631.5
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions144925020025014195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#14
54.80.3
47.948.1
Auto15.3
Teleop35.3
End4.2
red by 16.2
3467
#32
38.60.0
34.634.6
Auto6.7
Teleop28.1
End3.8
Second
133
#4
54.40.3
52.753.0
Auto14.1
Teleop29.6
End10.7
red by 23.0
2876
#50
31.50.0
32.732.7
Auto9.6
Teleop17.4
End4.5
Third
1735
#37
31.60.3
31.431.7
Auto12.7
Teleop13.6
End5.3
red by 6.1
1831
#59
25.50.0
27.927.9
Auto8.9
Teleop13.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned86%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
5%Capture oddsEarned2%Capture oddsMissed