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Red102
183125.5
556324.8
581338.2
Blue132
19560.4
346738.6
490537.5
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8413750100150200102132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5813
#36
38.20.8
35.836.7
Auto8.8
Teleop25.4
End4.0
blue by 22.3
195
#11
60.40.5
55.856.4
Auto16.2
Teleop35.5
End8.7
Second
1831
#59
25.50.8
27.928.7
Auto8.9
Teleop13.9
End2.8
blue by 13.1
3467
#32
38.60.5
34.635.1
Auto6.7
Teleop28.1
End3.8
Third
5563
#62
24.80.8
25.926.7
Auto2.8
Teleop16.8
End5.1
blue by 12.7
4905
#12
37.50.5
33.634.2
Auto12.2
Teleop19.7
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
69%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
4%Capture oddsMissed23%Capture oddsEarned