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Qual 262016 New England District Championship
Red132
12550.7
109934.4
115342.5
Blue103
16642.0
8833.8
17647.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions122112406080100140160180200132103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#2
50.71.1
46.5→47.6
Auto16.2
Teleop27.0
End7.4
red by 3.2
176
#23
47.50.4
42.4→42.0
Auto8.5
Teleop29.3
End9.7
Second
1153
#5
42.51.1
36.0→37.2
Auto10.2
Teleop26.8
End5.5
red by 0.5
166
#9
42.00.4
36.6→36.2
Auto14.0
Teleop23.2
End4.8
Third
1099
#40
34.41.1
32.4→33.6
Auto8.3
Teleop19.1
End7.0
red by 0.7
88
#46
33.80.4
30.1→29.7
Auto7.9
Teleop21.1
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
69%Capture oddsEarned28%Capture oddsMissed