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Red115
105844.4
490936.2
287737.1
Blue156
17647.5
9524.1
13354.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117121406080100140160115156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1058
#35
44.40.3
43.543.1
Auto9.1
Teleop23.8
End11.4
blue by 10.1
133
#4
54.42.3
52.855.0
Auto14.1
Teleop29.6
End10.7
Second
2877
#52
37.10.3
37.136.8
Auto18.1
Teleop16.3
End2.8
blue by 10.3
176
#23
47.52.3
42.044.3
Auto8.5
Teleop29.3
End9.7
Third
4909
#58
36.20.3
34.634.3
Auto7.8
Teleop23.7
End4.7
red by 12.1
95
#60
24.12.3
22.424.6
Auto8.2
Teleop12.1
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned91%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
46%Capture oddsMissed47%Capture oddsEarned