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Red122
19560.4
183125.5
346134.1
Blue107
455730.4
206743.4
109934.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1241046080140160180200122107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#11
60.40.3
56.456.6
Auto16.2
Teleop35.5
End8.7
red by 17.1
2067
#13
43.40.1
42.642.4
Auto16.2
Teleop22.3
End4.8
Second
3461
#55
34.10.3
33.033.2
Auto10.5
Teleop18.3
End5.3
blue by 0.3
1099
#40
34.40.1
33.633.4
Auto8.3
Teleop19.1
End7.0
Third
1831
#59
25.50.3
28.729.0
Auto8.9
Teleop13.9
End2.8
blue by 4.8
4557
#45
30.40.1
28.027.8
Auto9.1
Teleop15.5
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
88%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
10%Capture oddsMissed39%Capture oddsMissed