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Red100
7840.3
115342.5
173531.6
Blue132
596230.5
172934.1
151956.7
45%Model gave it55%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107116050150200250300100132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.50.2
37.237.0
Auto10.2
Teleop26.8
End5.5
blue by 14.2
56.71.5
53.054.5
Auto16.9
Teleop34.6
End5.2
Second
78
#28
40.30.2
33.433.2
Auto11.3
Teleop23.2
End5.8
red by 6.2
1729
#29
34.11.5
27.629.1
Auto10.1
Teleop19.0
End5.0
Third
1735
#37
31.60.2
32.732.4
Auto12.7
Teleop13.6
End5.3
red by 1.1
5962
#61
30.51.5
29.130.6
Auto10.7
Teleop15.8
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
10%Capture oddsEarned10%Capture oddsEarned