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Red91
23841.0
22830.2
24636.6
Blue115
127729.7
12550.7
176843.6
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10412740608014016018020091115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
238
#39
41.00.9
41.040.1
Auto14.4
Teleop21.0
End5.6
blue by 9.7
125
#2
50.70.3
47.647.2
Auto16.2
Teleop27.0
End7.4
Second
246
#15
36.60.9
32.231.3
Auto12.6
Teleop20.2
End3.8
blue by 7.0
1768
#27
43.60.3
39.939.5
Auto12.4
Teleop20.5
End10.7
Third
228
#19
30.20.9
31.530.6
Auto9.2
Teleop15.2
End5.7
red by 0.4
1277
#42
29.70.3
32.732.4
Auto11.1
Teleop13.3
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
46%Capture oddsEarned16%Capture oddsEarned