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Red101
237035.7
81130.5
264838.9
Blue69
556324.8
568630.7
31943.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1029705015020025010169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2648
#25
38.90.2
33.833.6
Auto9.7
Teleop24.9
End4.4
blue by 4.0
319
#7
43.01.8
40.638.8
Auto11.7
Teleop23.6
End7.6
Second
2370
#24
35.70.2
36.436.2
Auto9.0
Teleop21.8
End4.9
red by 4.9
5686
#41
30.71.8
28.526.7
Auto10.2
Teleop15.7
End4.8
Third
811
#51
30.50.2
28.628.5
Auto3.4
Teleop20.1
End7.0
red by 5.8
5563
#62
24.81.8
26.724.9
Auto2.8
Teleop16.8
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
13%Capture oddsEarned39%Capture oddsMissed