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Qual 402016 New England District Championship
Red134
568738.4
99936.6
417632.2
Blue86
346738.6
112436.9
55849.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10011605015020025013486

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5687
#20
38.41.6
37.5→39.1
Auto11.4
Teleop22.9
End4.1
blue by 10.9
558
#34
49.41.5
42.8→41.3
Auto10.0
Teleop30.2
End9.2
Second
999
#38
36.61.6
30.6→32.3
Auto11.9
Teleop19.3
End5.4
blue by 2.0
3467
#32
38.61.5
35.1→33.6
Auto6.7
Teleop28.1
End3.8
Third
4176
#33
32.21.6
31.3→33.0
Auto10.8
Teleop16.6
End4.8
blue by 4.7
1124
#8
36.91.5
30.7→29.2
Auto11.3
Teleop17.8
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned92%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
17%Capture oddsEarned9%Capture oddsMissed