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Red137
8833.8
405537.6
23054.8
Blue118
584629.2
46732.3
17540.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1169050100150200137118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#14
54.81.6
48.650.2
Auto15.3
Teleop35.3
End4.2
red by 14.8
175
#30
40.01.1
39.440.5
Auto8.6
Teleop21.4
End9.9
Second
4055
#16
37.61.6
30.031.6
Auto10.6
Teleop21.0
End6.0
red by 5.3
467
#56
32.31.1
27.829.0
Auto5.9
Teleop19.6
End6.8
Third
88
#46
33.81.6
29.731.3
Auto7.9
Teleop21.1
End4.7
red by 4.6
5846
#31
29.21.1
24.025.1
Auto8.0
Teleop15.1
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned84%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
20%Capture oddsMissed5%Capture oddsEarned