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Red140
17237.2
404842.1
17747.5
Blue127
18135.3
581338.2
169931.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11396406080120140160180140127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
#10
47.52.1
40.642.7
Auto12.7
Teleop28.2
End6.6
red by 9.3
5813
#36
38.22.1
36.738.8
Auto8.8
Teleop25.4
End4.0
Second
4048
#21
42.12.1
35.537.7
Auto7.9
Teleop27.3
End6.8
red by 6.7
181
#49
35.32.1
32.134.2
Auto10.0
Teleop20.0
End5.3
Third
172
#22
37.22.1
31.833.9
Auto9.2
Teleop20.9
End7.1
red by 5.7
1699
#44
31.62.1
26.828.9
Auto9.4
Teleop16.8
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned78%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsEarned16%Capture oddsEarned