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Red117
615333.0
206436.9
264838.9
Blue103
109934.4
23841.0
127729.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98111406080120140160180117103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2648
#25
38.91.3
33.634.9
Auto9.7
Teleop24.9
End4.4
blue by 2.0
238
#39
41.00.2
40.139.9
Auto14.4
Teleop21.0
End5.6
Second
2064
#18
36.91.3
34.235.6
Auto10.9
Teleop12.6
End13.4
red by 2.4
1099
#40
34.40.2
33.433.2
Auto8.3
Teleop19.1
End7.0
Third
6153
#17
33.01.3
29.130.5
Auto10.0
Teleop18.6
End4.4
red by 3.3
1277
#42
29.70.2
32.432.2
Auto11.1
Teleop13.3
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
11%Capture oddsEarned47%Capture oddsEarned