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Red128
12644.1
346738.6
287737.1
Blue115
7840.3
216844.9
31943.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117112050100150200128115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
126
#6
44.10.7
41.742.5
Auto10.9
Teleop22.8
End10.4
blue by 0.8
2168
#26
44.90.0
37.237.3
Auto12.9
Teleop24.3
End7.6
Second
3467
#32
38.60.7
33.634.3
Auto6.7
Teleop28.1
End3.8
blue by 4.3
319
#7
43.00.0
38.838.8
Auto11.7
Teleop23.6
End7.6
Third
2877
#52
37.10.7
36.837.5
Auto18.1
Teleop16.3
End2.8
blue by 3.1
78
#28
40.30.0
33.233.3
Auto11.3
Teleop23.2
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
62%Capture oddsEarned76%Capture oddsEarned