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Red127
112436.9
99936.6
568630.7
Blue107
151220.6
176843.6
105844.4
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9411550150127107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.91.8
34.236.1
Auto11.3
Teleop17.8
End7.7
blue by 7.5
1058
#35
44.40.5
46.546.0
Auto9.1
Teleop23.8
End11.4
Second
999
#38
36.61.8
31.933.7
Auto11.9
Teleop19.3
End5.4
blue by 7.0
1768
#27
43.60.5
41.741.2
Auto12.4
Teleop20.5
End10.7
Third
5686
#41
30.71.8
28.630.5
Auto10.2
Teleop15.7
End4.8
red by 10.2
1512
#63
20.60.5
21.420.9
Auto1.6
Teleop13.4
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
13%Capture oddsEarned24%Capture oddsMissed