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Red81
183125.5
46732.3
16642.0
Blue179
456455.3
151956.7
83934.5
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions881575010020081179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
#9
42.01.3
37.235.9
Auto14.0
Teleop23.2
End4.8
blue by 14.8
56.72.5
54.557.0
Auto16.9
Teleop34.6
End5.2
Second
467
#56
32.31.3
29.027.7
Auto5.9
Teleop19.6
End6.8
blue by 23.0
55.32.5
53.355.8
Auto10.2
Teleop33.7
End11.4
Third
1831
#59
25.51.3
29.027.7
Auto8.9
Teleop13.9
End2.8
blue by 9.0
839
#54
34.52.5
33.536.0
Auto9.0
Teleop20.2
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
81%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
11%Capture oddsMissed80%Capture oddsEarned