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Red128
17237.2
172934.1
176843.6
Blue136
13354.4
109934.4
237035.7
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101132406080120140160180200128136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1768
#27
43.61.0
39.540.6
Auto12.4
Teleop20.5
End10.7
blue by 10.8
133
#4
54.40.8
55.055.8
Auto14.1
Teleop29.6
End10.7
Second
172
#22
37.21.0
33.934.9
Auto9.2
Teleop20.9
End7.1
red by 1.6
2370
#24
35.70.8
36.237.0
Auto9.0
Teleop21.8
End4.9
Third
1729
#29
34.11.0
29.130.1
Auto10.1
Teleop19.0
End5.0
blue by 0.3
1099
#40
34.40.8
33.234.0
Auto8.3
Teleop19.1
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
6%Capture oddsEarned60%Capture oddsEarned